Model Performance
Transparent, verified accuracy across 718 settled fixtures.
Updated daily â no cherry-picking, no hidden results.
Accuracy by League
Accuracy excludes 1X2 outright â shown separately below as it's inherently harder to predict.
Daily Accuracy Trend
Market Breakdown
âšī¸ How we measure accuracy
Tap to expand
âšī¸ How we measure accuracy
Every number on this page comes from real, settled fixtures. Our system logs each prediction before kick-off, then settles results after full time using verified match data. No manual selection, no cherry-picking.
Each market has a clear binary outcome. For goals: did the total exceed the line? For BTTS: did both teams score? We check the final result against our pre-match prediction.
After every matchday, our calibration system compares predictions against outcomes and adjusts. The model genuinely improves over time â not a static algorithm.
Predicting the exact result is the hardest market â even top models sit around 40-50%. We track it for transparency but lead with markets where we add genuine value.
We only show leagues with 10+ settled fixtures. Small samples produce misleading percentages â we'd rather show you less data than inflated numbers.
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