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Millwall vs Derby prediction

Championship · Saturday 31 October, 15:00 UK

🎯
Our prediction
Confidence from our self-learning model, checked against every result
  • ⭐
    Best bet: Over 6.5 corners
    84%
🔒 5 more confident picks for this game (1X2, Corners, Goals) — free for 7 days with the trial.
Millwall win
52%
Draw
23%
Derby win
25%
Match stats

In their recent forms, Millwall has shown a tendency to both score and concede equally, averaging 1.6 goals per game, while Derby's form indicates they struggle more defensively, averaging 1.0 scored but 1.8 conceded. Head-to-head, these teams have frequently seen both teams score, and the most common result is a 1-1 draw, suggesting a tight match with potential for goals. The model's strongest picks lean towards a high corner count, but considering the teams’ scoring trends, "Over 1.5 Goals" at 75% seems particularly aligned with their recent performances.

Advice: Backing "Over 1.5 Goals" appears to be the best angle for this match, and it could be worth combining with high-confidence corner picks for added value.

Form & head-to-head
  • Millwall: DLDWL
    scoring 1.6, conceding 1.6 a game lately
  • Derby: DLDLW
    scoring 1.0, conceding 1.8 a game lately
  • Last 6 meetings
    1.8 goals a game · both scored in 67% · over 2.5 in 17% · most common score 1-1 (3x)
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Percentages are our model's chance for each outcome, calibrated against past results — when we say 80%, it has landed about 80% of the time. See the public record and the free Daily Pick, or every high confidence prediction today. A high chance isn't a certainty. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org